Another 425 hands played last night as the latest standings in the Durrrr Challenge swung into Antonius' favor for the first time. When Tom Dwan's dodgy internet connection caused him to call a premature end to the challenge session... Patrik Antonius had changed a $50k defecit into a $107k surplus.There was one huge hand which we will analyze below - firstly here are the table-by-table results for the 20th March Tom Dwan vs Patrik Antonius heads-up PLO challenge session:
Table #1 Dwan -$18,360.00 Antonius +$18,338.50 Total of 101 hands
Table #2 Dwan -$111,600.50 Antonius +$111,577.50 Total of 118 hands
Table #3 Dwan -$22,203.00 Antonius +$22,190.50 Total of 60 hands
Table #4 Dwan +$4,539.50 Antonius -$4,565.00 Total if 100 hands
Table #5 Dwan -$13,554.00 Antonius +$13,544.50 Total of 46 hands
Session Total = Dwan -$161,178.00 Antonius +$161,086.00
Durrrr Challenge to date: Dwan -$108,610.50 Antonius +$107,445.50
So, the big hand was a PLO classic - where both players had big draws (at least big for a heads-up match) and the money bet and raised meant the whole stacks went in. Here is how it went down
Pre-flop: Antonius (button) raises to $1200 and is re-raised by Dwan to $3600 which he flat calls.
Flop: 5c Qs 6c - Dwan raises $4,800, Antonius re-raises $21,600, Dwan raised again to $72000 effectively putting him all in when Antonius caps the pot.
Here are the hands they show:
Dwan: 7c Js 9c 8s for the huge straight draw with small flush draw
Antonius: 8h 5h 6c Jc for 2 pairs, a jack high flush draw and small backdoor straight potential
Here were the players winning chances when the chips went in:
Dwan - 32.56%
Antonius - 65.49%
Tie - 1.95%
While it seems like Antonius was way ahead with his 2-pair + FD combo we have to remember the role of ranges and (importantly) fold equity here... Dwan had the aggressive lead throughout the hand, and when the pot grew big enough that last $50k went in with a positive expectation!
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